Lt General Paul Van Riper

Lt General Paul Van Riper

(Tom: An adversary that does not play to your strengths but builds its own is always going to do better than you expect it to do.

The ability to face hard truths is a survival skill. Those who would survive would do well to learn that skill well. It is called ’confront’ – the ability to face without flinching. I know a course you can do that vastly increases your ability to confront. It is also a vital skill to have if you would not be drawn into responding when provoked. PM me for more data.)

It was the most expensive war game in Pentagon history.

$250 million. Two years of planning. 13,500 participants. Live exercises and simulations across multiple locations.

The year was 2002. The U.S. military was riding a wave of technological supremacy unlike anything the world had seen. Advanced surveillance systems. Real-time intelligence. Precision weapons. Networked command structures. The belief, which had been building for years, was that modern technology had fundamentally changed war — and that the United States was now essentially unbeatable.

Millennium Challenge 2002 was supposed to prove it.

The Blue Force would represent America. The Red Force would represent a fictional adversary — a rogue Middle Eastern military, essentially modeled on Iran.

To lead the Red Force, commanders selected retired Marine Lieutenant General Paul Van Riper — a 41-year veteran of combat, from Vietnam to Desert Storm. They chose him specifically because he was difficult. Unpredictable. The kind of man who would genuinely try to win, not just go through the motions.

They believed the system could handle him.

It could not.

Van Riper had watched previous war games produce false confidence. He had complained about it for years. He had been promised this one would be different — honest, open, free-play. A real test.

He intended to hold them to that promise.

When the Blue Force delivered an ultimatum — effectively demanding Red’s surrender — Van Riper read the message for what it was.

A declaration of war.

He struck first.

He knew Blue’s technological advantage depended on communication — tracking signals, monitoring networks, intercepting digital traffic. So he went dark. He sent orders by motorcycle courier. He relayed signals using coded lights on his airfields — World War II tactics. He even embedded hidden messages inside the calls to prayer broadcast from local mosques.

There was nothing to intercept. No signal to trace. No digital footprint at all.

Then he launched every asset he had — simultaneously.

A massive salvo from commercial ships, low-flying aircraft, and suicide speedboats overwhelmed the Navy’s electronic defense systems. National Security Archive

The simulated U.S. Navy battle group was defeated in ten minutes. National Security Archive

One aircraft carrier. Ten cruisers. Five amphibious ships. Sixteen warships gone.

Had it been real, an estimated 20,000 American sailors and Marines would have been dead before most of them understood what was happening.

The exercise was immediately suspended.

The ships were — in the language of the simulation — “refloated.“

And then the rules changed.

Red Force was ordered to turn on its radar so it could be targeted and destroyed. Van Riper was told he could not shoot down incoming aircraft. His unit locations were revealed to the enemy. His officers began receiving instructions directly from exercise controllers — instructions that overrode his commands. His team was handed a script and told to follow it.

The second round proceeded predictably. Blue Force won comfortably. The after-action report would later describe the exercise as a “major milestone.“

Van Riper walked out.

He submitted a 21-page classified critique. He received no response. When he realized his name was going to be used to validate conclusions he had explicitly rejected, he went public.

“Nothing was learned from this,“ he said. “A culture not willing to think hard and test itself does not augur well for the future.“

Within a year, the United States invaded Iraq — using many of the same operational concepts that Millennium Challenge had been designed to validate.

The lessons Van Riper had demonstrated, at $250 million, in ten minutes — the vulnerability to asymmetric attack, the fragility of technology-dependent systems against low-tech improvisation, the danger of scripting your own victory — were not incorporated into the planning.

The Pentagon’s own after-action report would eventually acknowledge, years later, that the Red Force’s free play had been constrained to ensure a Blue victory. The documents were classified for over a decade.

Paul Van Riper never stopped saying what he had seen.

He did not embarrass the system.

He showed it the truth.

And the truth was simpler than $250 million worth of technology:

An enemy that thinks for itself, moves fast, and doesn’t fight by your rules — will not lose by your rules either.

Based on verified historical records, Wikipedia, the National Security Archive, and the War on the Rocks journal. Shared for educational and historical awareness.

Civilizations die from suicide, not by murder.

Arnold Toynbee

John Leake writes:

“…it’s clear that by any standard apart from technical prowess, American civilization is in a state of rapid decline.

Why has this decline occurred? Pondering the question took me back to the thesis of a book that I was assigned to read in one of my college history classes—that is, Arnold Toynbee’s A Study of History, in which he set forth his theory of civilizational decline.

As he famously put it, “Civilizations die from suicide, not by murder.”

As he saw it, a civilization collapses not from external conquest, but from internal rot. This “suicide” is not a sudden act but a process of self-disintegration.

Toynbee reached this conclusion through a comparative analysis of multiple civilizations, including the Hellenic (Greco-Roman), Egyptian, and Chinese.

In his view, civilizations grow strong when a “creative minority”—an elite group of leaders—meets environmental, military, or social challenges. The majority follows not by coercion but through willing imitation. Growth continues so long as the minority retains its creative vitality and inspires collective effort.

Decline begins when this creative minority degenerates into a “dominant minority.”

Proud and complacent about its past successes, the erstwhile creative minority idolizes its own power and prestige, loses moral authority, and begins to rule by force rather than from genuine care, responsibility, and desire to build and create.

Hubris, nationalism, militarism, and the pursuit of material comfort replace creative innovation. Society fractures into a “schism” between the alienated “internal proletariat” (the masses who remain geographically inside the civilization but withdraw their trust and faith in the elite, and the elite that is increasingly detached from the material reality of the people it rules.

A “time of troubles” ensues—marked by internal conflict, class warfare, and futile attempts to freeze the status quo through imperial expansion and domination of other tribes. These actions are symptoms of decline. The civilization has already committed suicide by failing to respond in a creative and productive way to the challenges it faces.

Toynbee illustrated the pattern repeatedly. In the Hellenic case, Rome’s imperial machinery could not compensate for the spiritual exhaustion and social alienation that rotted the republic. Pressure from the barbarians on the frontier merely accelerated the collapse that had occurred internally in the way a storm knocks down an old tree whose core was already dying.

It’s consoling to note that Toynbee did not regard decline as inevitable. He believed that human agency matters, and that it may be possible for a new creative minority to slow or even stop the decline. Civilizations die because they choose—through undue pride, complacency, hubris, greed, and a disconnection from reality—to stop maintaining and building.

Toynbee died in 1975. Were he alive today, he would certainly see in the West a perfect illustration of this thesis.”

Vin Diesel and Michael Caine

Vin Diesel and Michael Caine

Being present when it matters. And doesn’t it always?

One quiet gesture on a red carpet stopped the world for a moment — and reminded millions of people what real friendship looks like.

On December 4, 2025, the Red Sea International Film Festival opened its fifth edition in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. Among the stars who walked the carpet that night — Uma Thurman, Ana de Armas, Queen Latifah, Kirsten Dunst — the moment that cut through all the noise was the simplest one of the evening.

Vin Diesel, in an all-black suit and sunglasses, quietly pushed a wheelchair along the red carpet. In it sat 92-year-old Sir Michael Caine — two-time Oscar winner, one of the greatest actors the English-speaking world has ever produced — dressed in a black jacket, blue striped tie, and the unmistakable dignity of a man who has nothing left to prove.

They stopped for photographs. They posed together. Then Diesel pushed his friend inside to receive an Honoree Award celebrating a career that has spanned more than six decades.

No drama. No performance. Just one man showing up for another.

Inside the venue, Diesel took the stage to present the award and spoke about Caine with the kind of warmth that does not come from a publicist’s script. “Tonight is more special for me personally,” he said, “because I’ve been asked to recognise someone who you all know as one of the best actors who’s ever lived.” He added that Caine carries “more charisma in his finger than most people in Hollywood.” The two had worked together a decade earlier on The Last Witch Hunter in 2015 — a film Diesel clearly valued for reasons beyond the box office.

Then Caine came to the microphone, supported on stage by three of his grandchildren.

What followed was pure Michael Caine. Completely himself. No false modesty, no rehearsed sentimentality, no Hollywood speech.

“Thank you for the welcome,” he began. “My name is Michael Caine.” He paused for the laughter and applause that followed. “It’s not my real name, but it’s a realistic name. It’s the one that made all the money.” He told the audience he was born a cockney in London — poor working class — and grew up to become exactly who he is. He spoke about his family with open, unguarded love.

And then, with the straightforwardness that has always defined him, he said: “I kept going until I was 90, which is two years ago. I’m not going to do anything else. I’ve had all the luck I can get.”

He retired in 2023 at the age of 90, after a career that gave the world Alfie, The Italian Job, Sleuth, The Man Who Would Be King, Hannah and Her Sisters — for which he won his first Oscar — The Cider House Rules, and his second Oscar — and a generation-defining run of films with Christopher Nolan, including The Dark Knight trilogy and Inception. More than 160 film and television credits across seven decades. A career so long and so varied that no single summary can hold it.

And he ended his speech by looking around the room in Jeddah and saying simply: “I’m just so happy to be here. I’ve seen it on television but never won anything here, so I’m happy.”

In a business built on performance, it was the most genuine moment in the room.

What made the evening memorable was not just the award, or the career it honoured, or even the warm words Diesel delivered on stage. It was the image that had already travelled around the world before the ceremony ended — one man, large and famous and strong, quietly pushing a wheelchair along a red carpet so that another man, older and slower but no less himself, could be there for something important.

Diesel called Caine a “fellow family man.” That phrase said more than any speech.

There were no grand statements that night. No declarations. Just presence — the kind that shows up without being asked, that does not need acknowledgment, that understands instinctively what it means to simply be there when it matters.

In an industry where everything can become a performance, that was the one thing that wasn’t.

And the world noticed.

Quote of the Day

“All men’s souls are immortal, but the souls of the righteous re immortal and divine.” Socrates – Philosopher (469 – 399 BC)

Daphne Sheldrick

Daphne Sheldrick

For decades, every orphaned baby elephant died within weeks. No one could keep them alive—until a farmer’s daughter with no scientific training spent 28 years refusing to accept defeat, and in doing so, changed everything.

The rangers carried the tiny elephant calf into Daphne Sheldrick’s care station at Tsavo East National Park. Its mother had been killed by poachers that morning. The baby was only about three weeks old, confused and terrified, still unable to understand why its mother wouldn’t wake up.

Daphne knew what would happen next; she had seen it dozens of times before.

She would try to feed the calf using cow’s milk, the only option available in rural Kenya in the 1950s. The calf would drink eagerly at first, desperate and hungry. But within days, or even hours, its stomach would reject the foreign milk. Diarrhea would set in, followed by dehydration. The calf would weaken rapidly, and then it would die.

This had been the tragic pattern across Africa for years. Infant elephants separated from their mothers simply didn’t survive. The conservation establishment had accepted this as a harsh reality. When poachers killed adult elephants, the orphaned calves were considered collateral damage—tragic, but inevitable. Every expert agreed: elephant milk was impossible to replicate, and the problem was unsolvable.

Daphne Sheldrick had no university degree in biology or veterinary medicine. She was a farmer’s daughter who had married David Sheldrick, the warden of Tsavo East, and she learned about wildlife through direct experience rather than textbooks. But as she looked at those dying calves, she made a decision that would consume the next three decades of her life: she was going to figure this out.

The challenge was staggering. Elephant milk has a unique composition unlike any other mammal. Its fat molecules are structured differently, the protein ratios are specific to elephant physiology, and the mineral balance must be exact. Infant elephants have digestive systems so sensitive that even a minor error in formula can be fatal within 48 hours.

Daphne had none of the tools a scientist would typically use. She had no way to chemically analyze the milk, no access to specialized supplements, and no research grants. What she did have were the ingredients she could find in rural Kenya, a notebook for her observations, and a steady stream of orphaned calves brought to her door by the poaching crisis.

So, she began to experiment.

She adjusted cow’s milk ratios, added cream, and tried goat’s milk. She mixed in various oils—vegetable oil, butter, and anything else she could source. She carefully measured mineral supplements, testing different combinations of calcium and phosphorus. Each variation was tested on a living, breathing baby whose survival depended on her getting it right.

Most of these attempts failed. The calves would drink the formula and seem fine for a day or two, only to suddenly crash. Their bodies rejected the nutrition in ways Daphne couldn’t always predict. She would watch them die, document her findings, and adjust the formula for the next orphan.

This went on for years, then a decade, then two. The emotional toll was crushing. These weren’t just research subjects; they were individual elephants with distinct personalities who bonded intensely with her. A calf would wrap its tiny trunk around Daphne’s arm, follow her around the compound, and sleep curled against her at night. And then, despite her best efforts, it would die.

Friends urged her to stop, insisting the pain of repeated failure wasn’t worth it. They argued that the problem might truly be impossible—that perhaps elephants simply required their biological mothers to survive. But Daphne refused to quit.

Slowly, through relentless observation, patterns emerged. She discovered that coconut oil—containing specific medium-chain triglycerides—could mimic the fat structure of elephant milk far better than dairy fats. It was a massive breakthrough, even if she didn’t fully understand the biochemistry behind it at the time.

She learned that mineral ratios had to be perfectly calibrated; too much calcium caused fatal imbalances within a week, while too little led to bone deformities. She also realized that stress itself could be lethal. Elephants are profoundly social; an orphan could die from grief and isolation even if its nutrition was perfect. They needed constant companionship—human keepers who would sleep beside them and become their surrogate family.

Every lesson was paid for with the life of an elephant she couldn’t save. But gradually, survival rates improved. Calves that once died within days began surviving for weeks, then months, then through their first year.

By the early 1980s—nearly 30 years after she began—Daphne had developed a formula and care protocol that worked reliably. It wasn’t perfect, as each calf still required individual adjustments, but orphaned infants were finally surviving.

After her husband David passed away in 1977, Daphne founded the Sheldrick Wildlife Trust (originally the David Sheldrick Wildlife Trust) in his honor. The organization’s mission was to rescue orphans using the knowledge she had spent 28 years perfecting through heartbreak and trial.

The protocol was demanding. Newborns needed feeding every three hours, around the clock. Keepers worked in shifts, sleeping in the stables to bottle-feed them through the night. As the orphans grew, they needed socialization, mud baths, and gradual contact with wild herds to prepare them for reintegration. Daphne systematized everything, creating detailed protocols that turned her breakthroughs into a repeatable method.

Eventually, the elephants she raised reached adulthood and successfully integrated into wild herds. Then, those elephants began having their own calves in the wild. The conservation establishment had been proven wrong: orphaned elephants could not only survive but thrive and contribute to the population. They just needed someone willing to spend 28 years figuring out how.

When Daphne Sheldrick passed away in 2018 at the age of 83, the Trust had successfully raised over 230 orphaned elephants. Her formula and protocols have been adopted by elephant orphanages worldwide. Hundreds of elephants are alive today—raising their own families—because she refused to accept that saving them was impossible.

She had no formal credentials, only a stubborn conviction that ”impossible” simply meant no one had tried long enough yet. Twenty-eight years of effort, hundreds of failures, and decades of grief finally led to a success that changed conservation forever.

Anterio Banderas

Anterio Banderas

He had moved to Hollywood in 1989 from Málaga, Spain, with a reputation built entirely in Spanish cinema. Eight years of working with director Pedro Almodóvar had made him one of the most exciting actors in Europe — a performer known for physical boldness, emotional honesty, and an instinctive grasp of complicated, difficult characters. Women on the Verge of a Nervous Breakdown had been nominated for the Academy Award for Best Foreign Language Film. European critics celebrated him. Spanish audiences loved him.

None of that translated into English.

And in Hollywood, English was everything.

The opportunity arrived in an unlikely way. During a trip to Los Angeles for the Almodóvar Oscar nomination, someone at a talent agency introduced Banderas to a young Cuban-American who worked delivering coffee in the office. The young man offered to represent him. Banderas barely understood a word of what was being said in the room. He nodded and said yes to everything.

He went back to Spain. Then the phone rang.

There was a film. Based on a Pulitzer Prize-winning novel by Oscar Hijuelos. A director named Arne Glimcher wanted to meet him in London. Banderas asked the obvious question: the movie was in Spanish, right? No, came the answer. It was in English. And his representative had already told the director that Banderas spoke some English.

He did not speak English.

He flew to London anyway.

The meeting with Glimcher happened through a translator. The director told Banderas to spend one month working on his English before a screen test opposite Jeremy Irons. Banderas worked. He took the screen test. He got the role of Nestor Castillo — a young Cuban musician who flees Havana for New York City, chasing music and a lost love — in The Mambo Kings (1992).

Then came the real work.

He learned every line phonetically. Not word by word, with comprehension attached to each one, but sound by sound — the rhythm and shape of syllables in a language he could not yet think in. He worked with a dialect coach throughout pre-production and filming. Direction on set came through translation, through fragments, through watching how other actors responded and calibrating accordingly. He studied his scene partners the way a musician studies a melody — listening for the beat before understanding the words.

The risk was not theoretical. A performance doesn’t hide language gaps. If the sounds came out wrong, or landed at the wrong emotional moment, or carried the wrong weight, it would be immediately visible to every English-speaking person watching. There was no editing trick that fixed a line reading that missed its meaning.

The work held.

Critics praised him with a specificity that made the achievement even more striking. The Los Angeles Times said he gave a ”quietly effective” performance. Newsweek declared that he had learned English for the role, but that you would not know it — that he found all the nuances of charm and self-pity in his character’s melancholic soul. Entertainment Weekly called his performance ”surprisingly confident and subtle.”

He was delivering a performance in a language he did not yet speak. The audience had no idea.

What followed — Philadelphia (1993), Interview with the Vampire (1994), Desperado (1995), The Mask of Zorro (1998), the Spy Kids franchise, the voice of Puss in Boots heard by generations of children around the world — was built on that foundation. A foundation poured not from readiness, but from the decision to act before it arrived.

But what Banderas himself remembered most from those early years was not the performance. It was everything around it. The ordinary moments that the phonetic trick could not fix. Being invited to the homes of actors he admired — Sharon Stone, Tom Hanks, people he had watched for years and finally found himself standing next to — and having nothing to offer back in conversation. Knowing what he wanted to say in Spanish with full precision and nuance, and having none of it available in English. Feeling, as he put it directly, like he might come across as stupid to people who had no way of knowing he wasn’t.

That was the price. Not the performance — he had tools for that, however improvised. The price was the private life on the other side of the set, where no coach could help and no phonetic memorization covered the gap.

He took intensive English courses. His fluency grew. The language that had been a wall became a door, and then a room he lived in comfortably. He eventually gave interviews in English with the kind of relaxed precision that only comes from genuine comfort — not translation, not performance, but actual thought.

In 2019, more than 25 years after The Mambo Kings, Banderas received an Academy Award nomination for Best Actor for Pain and Glory — a Pedro Almodóvar film, in Spanish, playing a character loosely based on the director himself. He had traveled all the way around the world and come back to the language he started in, now carrying everything the years between had given him.

He received the Cannes Film Festival Award for Best Actor for that role. He won the Goya Award — Spain’s highest film honor.

He accepted those awards in a language he had always spoken perfectly.

What his story captures is something worth sitting with. The assumption that preparation must precede opportunity is reasonable. It is also often wrong. Opportunity does not schedule itself around readiness. It arrives on its own timeline, under its own conditions, with a set of requirements you may not yet meet.

The question is not whether you are ready. The question is whether you are willing to learn — even mid-performance, even with the cameras rolling, even when the gap between what you know and what is required is visible enough to fail in front of everyone watching.

Banderas said yes to an English-language film in English he could not speak. He memorized sounds before he understood them. He worked with coaches, studied his scene partners, listened for the beat of scenes he could not fully read. He built from there.

Three decades later, he was still building.

Quote of the Day

“Constant kindness can accomplish much. As the sun makes ice melt, kindness causes misunderstanding, mistrust, and hostility to evaporate.”
Albert Schweitzer – Humanitarian (1875 – 1965)